Will “Ballroom” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ballroom” was said on Saturday Night Live in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 9, 2025 (25%), most recently on May 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

26%from settlement history only · n=4counts: any cast member
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any cast member
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=ballroom

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Saturday Night Live

Ballroom

Probability
26% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)

Next listing counts: any cast member

We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Will Ferrell say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Olivia Rodrigo say during her SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Colman Domingo say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jack Black say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ryan Gosling say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 17, 2026BallroomKalshiNo
May 10, 2026BallroomKalshiNo
May 3, 2026BallroomKalshiYes
Nov 9, 2025BallroomKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Ballroom” said on Saturday Night Live?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ballroom” was said on Saturday Night Live in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 9, 2025 (25%), most recently on May 3, 2026.
What is the probability “Ballroom” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?
26%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any cast member.

Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘Ballroom’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/ballroom (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=ballroom · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP