What is the probability “Alien” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?

20%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any cast member.

Will “Alien” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?

Name: Saturday Night Live: “Alien” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Alien” was not said on Saturday Night Live in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

20%from settlement history only · n=2counts: any cast member

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: any cast member

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 01:05 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Saturday Night Live

Alien

Probability: 20% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: any cast member

We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Will Ferrell say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Olivia Rodrigo say during her SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Colman Domingo say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jack Black say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ryan Gosling say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 17, 2026	Alien	Kalshi	No
May 10, 2026	Alien	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often is “Alien” said on Saturday Night Live?: As of Oct 24, 2026, “Alien” was not said on Saturday Night Live in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 10, 2026.
What is the probability “Alien” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?: 20%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: any cast member.

Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘Alien’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/alien (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=alien · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP