Will “ICE / National Guard” be said on Jimmy Kimmel Live! next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “ICE / National Guard” was not said on Jimmy Kimmel Live! in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jimmy Kimmel Live!
ICE / National Guard
- Probability
- 27% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: the host
We don’t have transcripts for Jimmy Kimmel Live! yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | ICE / National Guard |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 9, 2026 | ICE / National Guard | Kalshi | No |
| Dec 11, 2025 | ICE / National Guard | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “ICE / National Guard” said on Jimmy Kimmel Live!?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “ICE / National Guard” was not said on Jimmy Kimmel Live! in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 11, 2025.
- What is the probability “ICE / National Guard” is said on Jimmy Kimmel Live! next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jimmy Kimmel Live!: ‘ICE / National Guard’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/jimmy-kimmel-live/words/ice-or-national-guard (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jimmy-kimmel-live&word=ice%20%2F%20national%20guard · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jimmy-kimmel-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP