# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-10-19 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-13-october-19 · as_of 2026-10-26T20:51:16Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-19 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-13-october-19 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 13, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and October 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	30	14	0.47	nnYnYYnnnn	0.64	hist	0	0	yes	1
Nobel Peace Prize	nobel peace prize	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Erdogan	erdogan	2	1	0.5	nY	0.54	hist	0	0	yes	1
Teleprompter	teleprompter	1	0	0	n	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Obamacare	obamacare	0	0			0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Moon	moon	2	0	0	nn	0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
Cognitive	cognitive	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Autopen	autopen	21	8	0.38	nYYnnnnnnn	0.41	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	143	8	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.22	hist	0	0	no	1
Abraham Accords	abraham accord	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Dam	dam	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Democrat Shutdown	democrat shutdown	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Indonesia	indonesia	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1