# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-11-09 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-november-3-9 · as_of 2026-10-26T21:09:12Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-11-09 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v P, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-november-3-9 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 3, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	35	17	0.49	YnnnYnnYnY	0.68	0	0	yes	1
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	26	18	0.69	YnYYYYYnnn	0.64	0	0	yes	1
Democrat Shutdown	democrat shutdown	1	1	1	Y	0.59	0	0	yes	1
Escalator / Teleprompter	escalator|teleprompter	1	1	1	Y	0.58	0	0	yes	1
Nvidia	nvidia	8	4	0.5	nnYYnnYY	0.54	0	0	no	1
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	17	8	0.47	YYYYYYnnnY	0.54	0	0	yes	1
Liberation Day	liberation day	1	1	1	Y	0.51	0	0	no	1
Cuomo / Sliwa	cuomo|sliwa	0	0			0.47	0	0	yes	1
Cambodia	cambodia	1	0	0	n	0.46	0	0	yes	1
Peace through strength	peace through strength	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.44	0	0	yes	1
Obamacare	obamacare	1	0	0	n	0.42	0	0	yes	1
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	10	3	0.3	YnnnnnnnYY	0.4	0	0	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	170	16	0.09	nYYYYnnnnn	0.3	0	0	yes	1