Will Donald Trump say “Eight War / Nine War”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Eight War / Nine War” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 17, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Eight War / Nine War
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…tariffs, the use of tariffs. Number one, tariffs have helped us end eight wars. Five of the eight, I would say, was because of trade…
…such respect. Not that I want. It's just ridiculous. I settled like eight wars. How the hell do you not get the Nobel Prize? The…
…they can make a deal. I thought -- you know, I settled eight wars. I thought that would be the easiest one. The hatred between…
Since I took office, it has been my great honor to settle eight wars and in so doing, become friendly with the leaders of many…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Eight War / Nine War |  Kalshi | No |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Eight Wars / Nine Wars |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Eight War / Nine War”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Eight War / Nine War” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 17, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Eight War / Nine War” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Eight War / Nine War’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/eight-war-or-nine-war (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=eight%20war%20%2F%20nine%20war · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP