Will Donald Trump say “Democrat” 4+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Democrat” 4+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 8, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Democrat 4+ times
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the United States Senate. And we're going to defeat the radical left Democrats all across the country. And we're going to win a Republican House…
…to use it. He's great. He's a great guy, too. That the Democrat party has just conceded her seat. that Elhan Nur say Elmei, her…
…want to stop Annie from doing some terrible things, I call them Democrats. You know why their policy is so bad? Dum. I just switched…
…scams have been uncovered in Maine, in California, and many other mostly Democrat run states. And it's in Republican areas, too, but it seems to…
…and radical groups such as the Communist Party, USA, Antifa, and the Democrat Socialists of America. Communism will never be coming to America, but freedom…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | Democrat 4+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Democrat 4+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Democrat 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Democrat” 4+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 8, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Democrat 4+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Democrat 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/democrat-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=democrat%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP