Will Donald Trump say “Percent” 4+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Percent” 4+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Percent 4+ times
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a lot. No, you have some good reporters. About I'd say about 8.2%. And we're going to elect John James as your next governor. And…
…a lot of an endorsement and we got him down to below 50%. So, now there was a runoff. If we got him down, believe…
…would, now every time I'm on the ball, we do 49 to 50% more people come out and they're all going to vote for us.…
…to do me a very big favor. So when I run, I get 50% more vote. 49.2% more vote. So I'm asking you to pretend
…their economy. The only thing not gone is inflation. They have 301 percent as of this morning. The -- their money is gone. Everything's gone.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Percent 4+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Percent 4+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Percent 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Percent” 4+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Percent 4+ times” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Percent 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/percent-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=percent%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP