Will Donald Trump say “Tariff” 4+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tariff” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 28, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tariff 4+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the golden age of America. This is the richest, the best. And tariffs. Tariffs. My favorite word, tariffs. Now it's my fifth favorite. You've heard…
…in a country by five times. Five times. And thanks to the tariffs that I instituted. So I told you my favorite word in the…
…more now because we're a little longer than that. Thanks to my tariffs, my favorite word, I have to tell you. But no longer. It's…
…Look, they all remember 28 billion dollars. It all came out of tariffs. My my fifth favorite word used to be my favorite word, but…
…in big trouble with a B. 22 billion dollars. I impose historic tariffs. One of my all-time favorite words. It used to be my favorite…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Tariff 4+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tariff 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tariff” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 28, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tariff 4+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tariff 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tariff-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tariff%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP