# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-10 · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-announcement-today-127 · as_of 2026-10-27T21:20:33Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-10 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-announcement-today-127 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	22	17	0.77	YnnYYnYYYY	0.57	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	16	10	0.62	nnYnnnYYYY	0.46	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	28	14	0.5	nYnnYnYYnn	0.44	hist	no
Biden 4+ times	biden#4	4	0	0			0.43	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.4	hist	yes
Hell 3+ times	hell#3	3	17	8	0.47	YnYnYnnnnn	0.38	hist	no
Nobel / Prize	nobel|prize	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times	billion|million|thousand#10	10	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.24	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	134	8	0.06	nnnnYYYnnn	0.06	hist	no
Cognitive	cognitive	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Knesset	knesset	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Maria / Corina / Machado	corina|machado|maria	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Peace in the Middle East	peace in the middle east	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes