# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2025-09-12 · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-at-fox-friends-on-september-12 · as_of 2026-10-27T09:54:12Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-12 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-at-fox-friends-on-september-12 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Washington / DC	dc|washington	1	2	2	1	YY	0.48	hist	yes
Hottest Country	hottest country	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.48	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	19	10	0.53	nYnnnYYYYn	0.46	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	1	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	yes
Biden 3+	biden#3	3	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.42	hist	yes
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Hitler / Nazi	hitler|nazi	1	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.34	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	118	5	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Charlie / Kirk 5+	charlie|kirk#5	5	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
FBI / Secret Service 2+	fbi|secret service#2	2	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Good Morning	good morning	1	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Patriot / Hero 4+	hero|patriot#4	4	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Young People	young people	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes