Will Donald Trump say “FBI / Secret Service” 2+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “FBI / Secret Service” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 12, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
FBI / Secret Service 2+
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of cool. And I walk off the stage. She said, "You're driving Secret Service crazy. They're running all over the place. Running, running, running." Because…
…Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin, Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, FBI Director Kash Patel, Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton, National Cyber Director…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | FBI / Secret Service 2+ |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “FBI / Secret Service 2+”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “FBI / Secret Service” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 12, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “FBI / Secret Service 2+” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘FBI / Secret Service 2+’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fbi-or-secret-service-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fbi%20%2F%20secret%20service%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP