Will Donald Trump say “Young People”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Young People” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 12, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Young People
- Probability
- 42% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…mostly soldiers a month. You know that 25 I think of 25,000 young people every month just about was last month it was 32,000 but…
…try to steal Americans' money, prey on senior citizens, exploit children and young people through fraud, ransomware, impersonization seen -- the -- the schemes that…
…even supports giving sex toys and other obscene materials to seriously confuse young people and children. That's not good. It's sort of called child abuse.…
…now time for them to end this war and stop all those young people from being killed. No, no, listen to you. Hey, I'm not…
…I think, more quickly than people understand. They've they've had it 25000 young people, mostly soldiers a month, are dying 25000 a month. And I…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Young People |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Young people |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Young People | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Young People”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Young People” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 12, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Young People” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Young People’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/young-people (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=young%20people · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP