# NYT front page (nyt-front-page) · front_page by 2026-05-03 (settled) · 24 words · P p:what-will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-this-week · as_of 2026-10-26T00:51:53Z
# scope P anyone · n/y settled before 2026-05-03 · tn/th blank: no front page transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v P, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-this-week (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Anthropic / Claude	anthropic|claude	0	0		0.39	no
Artificial Intelligence / AI	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0		0.39	yes
Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei	ayatollah|khamenei|khomenei	0	0		0.39	no
Bitcoin	bitcoin	0	0		0.39	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	0	0		0.39	no
China	china	0	0		0.39	yes
Deal	deal	0	0		0.39	yes
Donald / Trump	donald|trump	0	0		0.39	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	0	0		0.39	no
Hegseth	hegseth	0	0		0.39	yes
Hezbollah	hezbollah	0	0		0.39	no
Iran	iran	0	0		0.39	yes
Israel	israel	0	0		0.39	yes
Maduro	maduro	0	0		0.39	no
Oil	oil	0	0		0.39	yes
OpenAI / ChatGPT	chatgpt|openai	0	0		0.39	no
Powell	powell	0	0		0.39	yes
Russia	russia	0	0		0.39	no
S&P	s&p	0	0		0.39	no
Stock	stock	0	0		0.39	yes
Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz	hormuz|strait|strait of hormuz	0	0		0.39	no
Ukraine	ukraine	0	0		0.39	no
Warsh	warsh	0	0		0.39	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	0	0		0.39	no