Home News NYT front page Russia Will “Russia ” appear on the next NYT front page? As of Oct 25, 2026, “Russia” appeared on the NYT front page on 1 of 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 3, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 7.
45% from settlement history only · n=2 counts: anyone
Last 10 1/2 Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak said last time
Counts anyone Markets Updated Oct 25, 2026, 04:02 UTC
Where it was said quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance – Aug 16 8/16 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16): not listed – Aug 23 8/23 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23): not listed – Aug 30 8/30 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30): not listed – Sep 6 9/6 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6): not listed – Sep 13 9/13 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13): not listed – Sep 20 9/20 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20): not listed – Sep 27 9/27 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27): not listed – Oct 4 10/4 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4): not listed – Oct 11 10/11 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11): not listed – Oct 18 10/18 What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18): not listed Latest quotes from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Wednesday, October 21 other NYT front-page headlines, October 19–25, 2026 · Oct 25, 2026 In transcript Embrace of Russia Fits in Plan to Get China in Three-Way Talks
Thursday, October 15 other NYT front-page headlines, October 12–18, 2026 · Oct 18, 2026 In transcript ‘What Russia Did to My Family’
Sunday, October 11 other NYT front-page headlines, October 5–11, 2026 · Oct 11, 2026 In transcript Death in Russia Still a Mystery
Saturday, October 3 other NYT front-page headlines, September 28–October 4, 2026 · Oct 4, 2026 In transcript Russia Wields Human Tool Against West
Sunday, September 27 other NYT front-page headlines, September 21–27, 2026 · Sep 27, 2026 In transcript How a Company’s Web of Deceit Helps Russia Evade Sanctions
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed
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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed
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Every settled listing newest first · 2 shown Every settled listing of this word, newest first Date Listed as Venue Result May 10, 2026 Russia Yes May 3, 2026 Russia No
Questions How often does “Russia” appear on the NYT front page? As of Oct 25, 2026, “Russia” appeared on the NYT front page on 1 of 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 3, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 5, 2026. What is the probability “Russia” appears on the NYT front page next time? 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice. Who has to say it for the market to count? Under the next market's rule: anyone. Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Russia’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/russia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=russia#parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP
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