# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-10-20 · 16 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26OCT20 · as_of 2026-10-26T23:17:19Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-10-20 · tn/th last 8 tv episode transcripts 2026-10-07..2026-10-19 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26OCT20 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	60	45	0.75	YYYYYYYYnY	8	8	0.69	hist	yes
Flood / Flooding	flood|flooding	1	7	6	0.86	nYYYYYY	8	8	0.67	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	50	33	0.66	YYYnnnYYYY	8	7	0.62	hist	yes
Diesel	diesel	1	12	8	0.67	YYnYYYnnYY	8	6	0.55	hist	yes
Nor'easter	nor'easter	1	2	2	1	YY	8	1	0.54	hist	yes
France / French	france|french	1	1	1	1	Y	8	2	0.49	hist	no
Jalen Hurts	jalen hurt	1	1	1	1	Y	8	2	0.49	hist	yes
Putin	putin	1	2	1	0.5	nY	8	4	0.48	hist	yes
Midterm	midterm	1	11	5	0.45	YnnYnnYYnY	8	7	0.47	hist	yes
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	8	5	0.46	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	39	13	0.33	YYnnnnYnYn	8	3	0.37	hist	yes
GLP-1 / GLP	glp|glp 1	1	0	0			8	0	0.36	hist	no
Medicare	medicare	1	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.35	hist	no
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	1	1	0	0	n	8	7	0.35	hist	no
Macron	macron	1	0	0			8	0	0.4	prior	no
Triumphal Arch	triumphal arch	1	0	0			8	0	0.4	prior	no