# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-07-29 · 16 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL29 · as_of 2026-10-24T08:07:15Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-07-29 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL29 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	15	11	0.73	YnYYYYYYnY	0.63	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	13	10	0.77	YYnYYYYYYn	0.62	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	9	4	0.44	YYYYnnnnn	0.37	hist	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.36	hist	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Midterm	midterm	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
Blanche	blanche	1	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	yes
Legionnaires	legionnaire	1	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	9	1	0.11	nnnnnYnnn	0.24	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.22	hist	no
American Airlines	american airline	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Circular	circular	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Fifth	fifth	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Hike / Hiked	hike|hiked	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Iraq	iraq	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Maintain / Unchanged	maintain|unchanged	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes