Will “Fifth” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fifth” was said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 3. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Fifth
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…history. The family of at least six barn owls on top of a water tower on West 75th Street right near New York Central Park.
Fifth-grade teacher Kathy Smith spotting the shooter from her classroom window and alerting the main office. I just figured, OK, today is a day that…
The oldest students at this school are just fifth graders. David. We are thinking of everyone in that community of Bend, Oregon tonight. Trevor Ralt…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fifth |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Fifth” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fifth” was said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Fifth” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Fifth’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/fifth (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=fifth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP