Will “Iraq” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iraq” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Iraq
- Probability
- 44% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Iraq” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iraq” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 29, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iraq” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Iraq’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/iraq (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=iraq · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP