ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 17, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 63%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 61%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 48%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Oman | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netanyahu | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tupac | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| North Korea | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Earthquake | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ferrari | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 28%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Ebola | No | 24%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP