Will “North Korea” be said on World News Tonight next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “North Korea” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.

42%from settlement history only · n=2counts: any host or reporter
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
any host or reporter
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

North Korea

Probability
42% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will any the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 17, 2026North KoreaKalshiYes
Aug 13, 2026North KoreaKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “North Korea” said on World News Tonight?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “North Korea” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 17, 2026.
What is the probability “North Korea” is said on World News Tonight next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘North Korea’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/north-korea (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=north%20korea · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP