# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-08-17 · 13 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG17 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:20:03Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-08-17 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG17 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	17	12	0.71	YnYYYYYYnY	0.63	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	22	16	0.73	YnYYYnYYYn	0.61	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	26	17	0.65	YYnYnnYnnn	0.48	hist	yes
Earthquake	earthquake	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.42	hist	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.41	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	8	3	0.38	nYnnYYnn	0.39	hist	no
Netanyahu	netanyahu	1	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
North Korea	north korea	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
Tupac	tupac	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	18	5	0.28	nnnnnnnnYn	0.28	hist	no
Ebola	ebola	1	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.24	hist	no
Ferrari	ferrari	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Oman	oman	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes