ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 5, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
16 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 65%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 52%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Abdul / El-Sayed | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jeanine / Pirro | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 71%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| JD / Vance | No | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora | No | 43%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Las Vegas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nancy Guthrie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Perez / Hilton | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pope | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ebola | No | 29%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 27%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 16%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP