Will “Pope” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Pope” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Pope
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…us here tonight. Mary, thanks as always. When we come back here, the major new headline coming in on Pope Leo and his health tonight.
…911. Oh my God. What the dispatcher teaches them on the phone. Tonight, Pope Leo's lung cancer and what we've now learned about his condition.
…most trusted. Now on Disney Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. Pope Leo has lung cancer. Tonight, the Vatican has now revealed that Pope…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pope |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Pope” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Pope” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Pope” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Pope’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/pope (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=pope · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP