# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-08-05 · 16 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG05 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:51:45Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-08-05 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG05 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	18	15	0.83	YYYYnYYYYY	0.71	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	20	15	0.75	YYYnYYYnYY	0.65	hist	yes
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	2	2	1	YY	0.54	hist	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	9	5	0.56	nnnYYYYYn	0.52	hist	yes
Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora	cyclospora|cyclosporiasis	1	6	3	0.5	YYnnYn	0.43	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.43	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	5	2	0.4	nYnnY	0.42	hist	yes
Ebola	ebola	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.29	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	14	4	0.29	nnnnnnnnnn	0.27	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	17	1	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.16	hist	no
Abdul / El-Sayed	abdul|el sayed	1	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Jeanine / Pirro	jeanine|pirro	1	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Las Vegas	las vega	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Nancy Guthrie	nancy guthrie	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Perez / Hilton	hilton|perez	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Pope	pope	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no