Marco Rubio: Interview, Mar 31, 2026
Kalshi What will Marco Rubio say during his Hannity interview?
Markets
17 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuba | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hamas / Hezbollah | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| JD / Vance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kharg Island | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXRUBIOMENTION-26MAR31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP