Will Marco Rubio say “Trump” 5+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Trump” 5+ times at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (20%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (5+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Marco Rubio
Trump (5+ times)
- Probability
- 37% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…of Hormuz and this critical artery of global trade. And so President Trump, as he always does, stepped up and answered the calls for their…
…take the steps that we've taken now. Under this president, under President Trump, the United States will help our friends. We're going to stand up…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 5, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | No | 4 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Marco Rubio say “Trump (5+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Trump” 5+ times at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (20%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Marco Rubio says “Trump (5+ times)” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘Trump (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP