Will Marco Rubio say “Democrat”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio did not say “Democrat” at any of the 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

18%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=democrat

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Marco Rubio

Democrat

Probability
18% · n=11
Settled
0/11 (0%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during The Katie Miller Podcast? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say on Fox News: My View? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during House Committee Budget Hearing? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during his Committee on Appropriations budget hearing? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during his Press Briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 28, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Aug 11, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Aug 1, 2026DemocratPolymarketNo
Aug 1, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Jun 2, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Jun 2, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
May 14, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
May 13, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Mar 31, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Jan 29, 2026DemocratKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Marco Rubio say “Democrat”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio did not say “Democrat” at any of the 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2026.
What is the probability Marco Rubio says “Democrat” next time?
18%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP