# Marco Rubio (marco-rubio) · interview 2026-03-31 · 17 words · K k:KXRUBIOMENTION-26MAR31 · as_of 2026-10-25T17:15:51Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-31 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXRUBIOMENTION-26MAR31 ({word} = w of K rows): If Marco Rubio says {word} as part of Fox News: Hannity, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	1	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	no
Cuba	cuba	1	0	0			0.57	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Hamas / Hezbollah	hama|hezbollah	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Kharg Island	kharg island	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
NATO	nato	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Oil	oil	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no