Will Marco Rubio say “Iran” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Iran” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Marco Rubio
Iran (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…two months now, these innocent sailors and commercial crew members have been stranded out at sea because Iran is conducting something that's not just criminal.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Iran (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Marco Rubio say “Iran (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Iran” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Marco Rubio says “Iran (3+ times)” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘Iran (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/iran-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=iran%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP