Ted Cruz: Interview, Aug 25, 2026
Kalshi What will Ted Cruz say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
13 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court / SCOTUS | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midterm | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paxton | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Talarico | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26AUG25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP