Will Ted Cruz say “Canada / Canadian”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Ted Cruz did not say “Canada / Canadian” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Mar 1, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ted Cruz
Canada / Canadian
- Probability
- 28% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Canada / Canadian |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Canada / Canadian | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Ted Cruz say “Canada / Canadian”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Ted Cruz did not say “Canada / Canadian” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Ted Cruz says “Canada / Canadian” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ted Cruz: ‘Canada / Canadian’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ted-cruz/words/canada-or-canadian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ted-cruz&word=canada%20%2F%20canadian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ted-cruz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP