Will Ted Cruz say “2028 / Campaign”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Ted Cruz said “2028 / Campaign” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Mar 1, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

28%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=ted-cruz&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ted Cruz

2028 / Campaign

Probability
28% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Ted Cruz say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will Ted Cruz say during Meet the Press? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 18 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ted Cruzguest8:41In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Ted Cruzguest14:59In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Ted Cruz say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Ted Cruz say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will Ted Cruz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 30, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes2
Aug 25, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Ted Cruz say “2028 / Campaign”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Ted Cruz said “2028 / Campaign” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 30, 2026.
What is the probability Ted Cruz says “2028 / Campaign” next time?
28%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ted Cruz: ‘2028 / Campaign’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ted-cruz/words/2028-or-campaign (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ted-cruz&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ted-cruz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP