Will Ted Cruz say “Talarico”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ted Cruz said “Talarico” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Mar 1, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceTed Cruz
Talarico
- Probability
- 47% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shownQuestions
- How often does Ted Cruz say “Talarico”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ted Cruz said “Talarico” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Ted Cruz says “Talarico” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ted Cruz: ‘Talarico’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ted-cruz/words/talarico (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ted-cruz&word=talarico · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ted-cruz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP