Will Ted Cruz say “Talarico”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Ted Cruz said “Talarico” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Mar 1, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

47%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ted Cruz

Talarico

Probability
47% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Ted Cruz say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Ted Cruz say during Meet the Press? · our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes

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What will Ted Cruz say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Ted Cruz say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will Ted Cruz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 10, 2026TalaricoKalshiYes–
Aug 30, 2026TalaricoKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Aug 25, 2026TalaricoKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Ted Cruz say “Talarico”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ted Cruz said “Talarico” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
What is the probability Ted Cruz says “Talarico” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ted Cruz: ‘Talarico’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ted-cruz/words/talarico (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ted-cruz&word=talarico · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ted-cruz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP