Will Ted Cruz say “Socialist / Socialism”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Ted Cruz did not say “Socialist / Socialism” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Mar 1, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ted Cruz
Socialist / Socialism
- Probability
- 29% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Ted Cruz say “Socialist / Socialism”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Ted Cruz did not say “Socialist / Socialism” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Ted Cruz says “Socialist / Socialism” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ted Cruz: ‘Socialist / Socialism’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ted-cruz/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ted-cruz&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ted-cruz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP