What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Bike / E-Bike / Moped” next time?

31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Bike / E-Bike / Moped”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Bike / E-Bike / Moped” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Bike / E-Bike / Moped” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 6, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 16:40 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Bike / E-Bike / Moped

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…say is just a slight addendum in that in some of the bike lane projects that we have restarted that the prior administration had indefinitely…