What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Thousand / Million / Billion 8+ times” next time?

47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Thousand / Million / Billion” 8+ times?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Thousand / Million / Billion 8+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Thousand / Million / Billion” 8+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 6, 2025.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (8+, named speaker only) in 3.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 00:51 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Thousand / Million / Billion 8+ times

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…I'm so proud to announce that, thanks to the tireless organizing of Edenwald's residents, the $783 million PACT conversion of this development is nearly complete.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

That translates to 1,567 fewer shootings citywide between 2012 and 2024. 1,567 New Yorkers with futures ahead of them who will celebrate another birthday and…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

So, I would like to begin by reflecting on the number 12,000 and its significance here in New York City. Across the five boroughs, we…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…inequality, fundamentally reshaping the modern understanding of how waves began. And in 2007, at 75 West 205th Street, between Paul and Goulden avenues in the…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Delivers Remarks at NYPD Memorial Wall With Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch · Oct 13, 2026In transcript

…resonates in their homes and precincts, on the streets where they walked the beat and the lives of the 8.5 million New Yorkers they protected.