Zohran Mamdani: Interview, Oct 16, 2025
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Fox interview?
Markets
16 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crime | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grocery | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Queens | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Homeless | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ackman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Antifa | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Puppet | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Schumer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transgender | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AOC | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Uganda | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-25OCT16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP