# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · interview 2025-10-16 · 16 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-25OCT16 · as_of 2026-10-26T17:55:47Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-16 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-25OCT16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of The Story with Martha MacCallum on October 15th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Immigrant	immigrant	1	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Homeless	homeless	1	0	0			0.47	hist	no
Uganda	uganda	1	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
AOC	aoc	1	0	0			0.3	hist	no
Ackman	ackman	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Antifa	antifa	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Billionaire (3+ times)	billionaire#3	3	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Crime	crime	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Grocery	grocery	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Israel	israel	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Puppet	puppet	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Queens	queen	1	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Schumer	schumer	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Transgender	transgender	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.36	prior	yes