Karoline Leavitt: Interview, Jan 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Karoline Leavitt say during her Fox Interview?
Markets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China / Tariff | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illegal Alien | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| False / Lie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greenland | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical Left | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Self Defense | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Narcoterrorist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLEAVITTSMFMENTION-26JAN13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP