Will Karoline Leavitt say “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Karoline Leavitt did not say “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Terrorist / Narcoterrorist
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…are a fragmented system. They are not the once very strong, powerful terrorist state that they were before this operation, which was one of the…
…we have this short-term disruption, but again, it's for the long-term strategic goal of ensuring that these terrorists cannot possess a nuclear bomb. Jennifer. Jennifer.
…Today, that number is zero. Iran's ability to fund and support its terrorist proxies has been greatly reduced. At this point, Iran can no longer…
…passing day, the United States military is increasing its advantage over the terrorist Iranian regime. More than 11,000 enemy targets have been struck to date,…
…military operations in Iran, the United States military continues to decimate the terrorist Iranian regime's offensive and defensive capabilities. Just over three weeks in, it's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Terrorist / Narcoterrorist |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Karoline Leavitt did not say “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Terrorist / Narcoterrorist’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/narcoterrorist-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=narcoterrorist%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP