# Karoline Leavitt (karoline-leavitt) · interview 2026-01-13 · 16 words · K k:KXLEAVITTSMFMENTION-26JAN13 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:36:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-13 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-23..2026-01-08 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLEAVITTSMFMENTION-26JAN13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Karoline Leavitt says {word} as part of America Reports on January 12th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	tn	th	p	p_src	res
China / Tariff	china|tariff	0	0		8	5	0.37	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0		8	4	0.32	prior	yes
Biden	biden	0	0		8	7	0.32	prior	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0		8	8	0.32	prior	yes
False / Lie	false|lie	0	0		8	5	0.32	prior	no
Fraud	fraud	0	0		8	6	0.32	prior	no
Greenland	greenland	0	0		8	1	0.32	prior	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	0	0		8	6	0.32	prior	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0		8	4	0.32	prior	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	0	0		8	6	0.32	prior	yes
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	0	0		8	3	0.32	prior	yes
Radical Left	radical left	0	0		8	2	0.32	prior	no
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	0	0		8	5	0.32	prior	no
Self Defense	self defense	0	0		8	1	0.32	prior	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	0	0		8	2	0.32	prior	no
Terrorist / Narcoterrorist	narcoterrorist|terrorist	0	0		8	5	0.32	prior	no