Will Karoline Leavitt say “Maduro / Venezuela”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Maduro / Venezuela” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Maduro / Venezuela
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…walking with her friends outside of her university, by a legal alien from Venezuela who had no right to be here in the first place.
…be some sanctions what that would be lifted. Would those be on Venezuela or Russia? Could you give some specifics there and then timing for…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Maduro / Venezuela |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Maduro / Venezuela”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Maduro / Venezuela” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Maduro / Venezuela” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Maduro / Venezuela’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/maduro-or-venezuela (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=maduro%20%2F%20venezuela · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP