Will “China / Chinese” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on The Last Word in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 12, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

39%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=china%20%2F%20chinese

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

China / Chinese

Probability
39% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Josh TurekguestThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 6, 2026 · Oct 6, 2026 · 29:20In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 10, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
May 14, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
May 12, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “China / Chinese” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on The Last Word in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 12, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 14, 2026.
What is the probability “China / Chinese” is said on The Last Word next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP