Will “Ghislaine / Maxwell” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ghislaine / Maxwell” was said on The Last Word in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
39%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
Ghislaine / Maxwell
- Probability
- 39% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Ghislaine / Maxwell |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Ghislaine / Maxwell | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Ghislaine / Maxwell | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Ghislaine / Maxwell | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Ghislaine / Maxwell” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ghislaine / Maxwell” was said on The Last Word in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ghislaine / Maxwell” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Ghislaine / Maxwell’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/ghislaine-or-maxwell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=ghislaine%20%2F%20maxwell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP