Will Tom Homan say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Trump” 3+ times at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tom Homan
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 53% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…David Becker and former cybersecurity chief Chris Krebs, who was fired by Trump for asserting that the 2020 elections were secure. Plus, New York Governor…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…waterway open. What's next for the security of the region after President Trump declared that fragile cease-fire deal to be over? We will be joined…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
Questions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Trump” 3+ times at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP