Will Tom Homan say “Minnesota / Minneapolis”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Minnesota / Minneapolis” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

37%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=minneapolis%20%2F%20minnesota

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

Minnesota / Minneapolis

Probability
37% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

MARGARET BRENNANhostFace the Nation (CBS), July 19, 2026 · Jul 19, 2026In transcript

…keep the department out of the headlines ever since that streak in Minnesota that was deadly. How do you respond to those who say, what's…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

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What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 19, 2026Minnesota / MinneapolisKalshiNo0
Jun 6, 2026Minnesota / MinneapolisKalshiNo–
Apr 22, 2026Minnesota / MinneapolisKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “Minnesota / Minneapolis”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Minnesota / Minneapolis” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 6, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “Minnesota / Minneapolis” next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Minnesota / Minneapolis’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/minneapolis-or-minnesota (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=minneapolis%20%2F%20minnesota · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP