Will Tom Homan say “Electric”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Electric” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 16, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tom Homan
Electric
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Electric |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Electric”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Electric” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Electric” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Electric’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/electric (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=electric · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP