Chris Wright: Hearing, Jun 10, 2026
Kalshi What will Chris Wright say during the Department of Energy Budget Hearing?
Markets
16 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 73%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 73%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 73%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Data Center | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia / Russian | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Solar | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wind / Windmill | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| California | Yes | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Domestic | No | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Venezuela | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26JUN10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP