Will Chris Wright say “Venezuela”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Venezuela” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceChris Wright
Venezuela
- Probability
- 33% · n=8
- Settled
- 2/8 (25%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…we can do is add supply in Alaska, in the Gulf, in Venezuela, everywhere we can, and continue to grow the rate of exports from…
…and ownership interest in some production there. But it's a win for Venezuela as well, because it helps the investment climate to draw more and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Venezuela | No | – | |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Venezuela | Yes | 5 | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Venezuela | No | – | |
| May 13, 2026 | Venezuela | No | – | |
| May 10, 2026 | Venezuela | No | 0 | |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Venezuela | No | – | |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Venezuela | No | – | |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Venezuela | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Chris Wright say “Venezuela”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Venezuela” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Chris Wright says “Venezuela” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘Venezuela’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/venezuela (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=venezuela · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP